24/06/2025
On June 24, during the event "Between Zero and One 4 – Quantum Finance: The Future of the Financial Sector", held at Inovabra Habitat, IBM presented the current state of quantum computing applied to finance. The event brought together representatives from major banks and IBM specialists to cover everything from basic concepts to real-world use cases.
In quantum computing, the smallest unit of information is the qubit. Unlike a classical bit, which can only be in state 0 or 1, a qubit can be in both states simultaneously through superposition.
Mathematically, the basic qubit states are represented as vectors:
|0⟩ = (1, 0)
|1⟩ = (0, 1)
In addition, qubits can exhibit entanglement, where the state of one qubit is directly linked to the state of another, making it impossible to describe them independently.
Superposition allows a qubit to exist in multiple states at once, enabling parallelism in quantum processing.
Entanglement creates correlations between qubits that can be exploited in complex algorithms.
IBM presented its roadmap aiming to achieve fault-tolerant quantum computing by 2028. Key milestones include:
IBM demonstrated how various financial institutions are already using quantum computing for:
Banks like Wells Fargo, HSBC, Crédit Mutuel, Bradesco, and Itaú are part of the IBM Quantum Network and are working on real projects.
A detailed case study on portfolio optimization using the VQE (Variational Quantum Eigensolver) quantum algorithm was presented.
Final state observed:
|ψ_final⟩ ≈ (0, 1, 0, 0)
With an energy value close to -2.4397.
Quantum computing allows for accelerating the solution of optimization problems that, in classical form, would have exponential complexity.
For portfolio optimization, brute-force methods scale with O(2^n), where n is the number of assets. Quantum computing provides a significant reduction in execution time.
The main challenge lies in hardware limitations. The industry is currently in the NISQ era (Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum), working with devices that have only a few hundred qubits and a high error rate. Current quantum computers are not fault-tolerant, limiting the number of operations that can be executed before computational errors accumulate.
Progress in the financial sector will depend on:
The presentation also addressed cryptography, a field directly affected by advancements in quantum computing.
Cryptography is a technique used to protect information, ensuring that only authorized individuals can access it.
It transforms readable data (plaintext) into encoded data (ciphertext) using mathematical algorithms and cryptographic keys.
The main goals of cryptography are:
Most current cryptographic security is based on the computational difficulty of solving specific mathematical problems on classical computers.
Examples include:
With the evolution of quantum computers, these foundations are under threat, especially due to algorithms like Shor’s, which can efficiently break many of these systems.
Two main types of cryptography were presented:
With the advancement of quantum hardware, cryptographic algorithms relying on factorization or discrete logarithms will become vulnerable.
This has accelerated the global development of post-quantum cryptography, with new algorithms being standardized by organizations like NIST.
A key concern raised during the event was the future ability of quantum computers to break existing cryptographic protections.
Current cryptographic algorithms depend on the intractability of certain mathematical problems. These problems are currently unfeasible for classical computers but will become solvable in reasonable timeframes with the arrival of a "Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computer".
Quantum computing reduces its effective security by half, as per Grover’s Algorithm.
For example, a 128-bit key would offer the effective security of a 64-bit key against a quantum attack.
Even more vulnerable, Shor’s Algorithm, presented in 1994, can break most traditional asymmetric algorithms like RSA, DSA, and ECDSA.
The financial industry is aware that this is no longer a theoretical risk but an impending reality.
Quantum computing brings concrete benefits for areas like portfolio optimization and fraud detection. At the same time, it poses a direct threat to the security of systems based on traditional cryptography.
The event made it clear that the financial sector must act on two fronts:
Both paths are necessary to maintain competitiveness and security in the coming years.